Ronan Manly

Will Gold be the Last Man Standing as Perfect Storm hits Markets?

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• Ronan Manly
• 3 Comments

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The turmoil engulfing financial markets is unprecedented in its breath and intensity. You might call it a perfect storm. In such an environment, no asset class has been immune. But will gold be the last man standing? Continue Reading

Physical Gold Demand at Record Levels, Paper Gold Price Disconnect

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• Ronan Manly
• 20 Comments

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As global stock markets reeled last week on continued newsflow around the coronavirus, the US dollar gold price made a seven-year high early in the week, only to fall sharply on Friday.

But with this ‘gold price’ derived on the COMEX gold futures market, it is detached from the reality of the current strong demand that BullionStar is seeing for physical gold. Continue Reading

China’s gold market not immune to a wider downturn

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• Ronan Manly
• 2 Comments

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From quarantined cities to lower consumer demand, from reduced flight traffic to closed frontiers and boarders, the economic shock to the domestic Chinese gold market caused by the outbreak of the coronavirus should not be underestimated.

While we can't examine much live data from the Chinese gold market right now, we can review Chinese gold market activity up to the end of... Continue Reading

German Government Escalates its War on Gold

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• Ronan Manly
• 9 Comments

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In a brazen attack on precious metals and economic freedom, the German government has just introduced draconian new rules on buying precious metals.

Brought in with zero evidence under the guise of money laundering prevention, short term it created panic gold buying by Germany’s population but long term it's a continuation of the all too familiar statist war against gold and... Continue Reading

LBMA claims record amount of gold in London’s vaults

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• Ronan Manly
• 12 Comments

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This week the LBMA in London claims that a record 8,228 tonnes of gold is held in the London vaults, vaults which include those at the Bank of England and the commercial vaults of such bullion banks as JP Morgan and HSBC.

But beyond the headline figure, how much of this gold is available to underpin the gargantuan daily trading volumes of the London gold market? Very little as... Continue Reading

Quantum leap for banks as ABN AMRO questions gold price discovery

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• Ronan Manly
• 5 Comments

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In a quantum leap for an investment bank to make, Dutch bank ABN AMRO has just gone on record questioning if a world with two gold prices would be better, one price that would reflect trading of real physical gold, and the other which would represent paper and synthetic gold products.

Although a welcome step from the Dutch bank, it fails to acknowledge the structural forces... Continue Reading

Behind enemy lines – Military use of gold coins as emergency money

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• Ronan Manly
• 2 Comments

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Gold is and always has been universal money that can be used anywhere and is accepted everywhere. The world’s elite military detachments know this, which is why they issue their troops and pilots with gold coins and other gold bullion items for use as emergency money when they go behind enemy lines. Continue Reading

Polish central bank airlifts 8000 gold bars (100 tonnes) from London to Poland

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• Ronan Manly
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The Polish central bank has just succeeded in extracting 100 tonnes of its gold from the Bank of England in London, and this gold now rests safely back in Poland in the vaults of the National Bank of Poland.

Moving 100 tonnes of gold - 8000 central bank gold bars - Poland’s gold repatriation operation involved top secret motorcades, elite police escorts, jumbo jet air... Continue Reading

New COMEX Pledged Gold – Shrinking the Pool of Registered Inventory

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• Ronan Manly
• 2 Comments

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Ever been confused between the COMEX ‘registered’ and ‘eligible’ gold categories on the COMEX New York gold vault reports? You wouldn’t be the first. But now the CME has made it even more complex by introducing a new ‘pledged gold’ category representing COMEX registered gold that has been used as collateral.

But with pledged gold unable to be used for gold futures... Continue Reading

Chinese central bank gold buying – On a need to know basis

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• Ronan Manly
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After announcing gold reserve purchases for ten straight months between December 2018 and September 2019, the Chinese central bank, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) has now paused gold buying for October, at least according to latest figures.

But what to make of Chinese official gold buying communication in general? It’s instructive to look at China’s stop-start gold... Continue Reading

The Power of Gold in Times of Crisis

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• Ronan Manly
• 6 Comments

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History is replete with examples of gold being the ultimate asset in times of crisis and emergency, where time and time again, gold comes to the rescue and provides its holders with choice and freedom.

These crisis situations range from fiat currencies collapses, to gold buying safe passage across international borders, from periods in which gold can rescue an entire nation, to... Continue Reading

Wag the Dog – The new COMEX and SGE Gold Contracts

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• Ronan Manly
• 4 Comments

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In a development whose impact is still unclear, the world’s largest gold derivatives trading venue, the US COMEX, and the world’s largest physical gold trading exchange, the Chinese SGE, have just jointly launched gold derivatives contracts, potentially binding each other into a price feedback loop.

Could this be a case of the massively influential COMEX gold trading now... Continue Reading

LBMA needs reform to serve the physical precious metals market

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• Ronan Manly
• 7 Comments

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The LBMA claims to be the global authority for precious metals, but it is an organization stacked full of bullion banks which trade gigantic volumes of synthetic paper promises, and an organization which does nothing to champion the interests of savers and investors in physical precious metals.

Founded by a group of bullion banks and the Bank of England, the LBMA and its... Continue Reading

LBMA Removes JP Morgan’s Michael Nowak from the LBMA Board

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• Ronan Manly
• 3 Comments

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Earlier this week BullionStar broke the news that the JP Morgan head of precious metals trading, Michael Nowak, who is at the center of the DoJ’s criminal investigation into precious metals market manipulation, was also a current board member of the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA).

Following this revelation, we also talked to the Financial Times on Thursday, which... Continue Reading

LBMA Board Member & JP Morgan Managing Director Charged with Rigging Precious Metals

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• Ronan Manly
• 6 Comments

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Michael Nowak, JP Morgan Chase managing director and Board member of the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) has just been charged by the US Department of Justice (DoJ) with manipulating the prices of precious metals-futures contracts over an 8 year period.

Nowak sits on the LBMA Board along with LBMA chairman Paul Fisher, LBMA CEO Ruth Crowell, and LBMA General Counsel... Continue Reading

Rothschild emerges from the shadows for the Centenary of the London Gold Fixing

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• Ronan Manly
• 5 Comments

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This month marks the centenary of the London Gold Fixing, with events at both Rothschild’s headquarters in the City of London and at the neighboring Bank of England.

Billed as a momentous occasion by the bullion bank-controlled London Bullion Market Association (LBMA), the celebrations gloss over and conveniently forget to mention that the history of the London Gold Fixing is... Continue Reading

Chinese gold imports – Better data, lower inflows, unanswered questions

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• Ronan Manly
• 4 Comments

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Cross-border gold flows into the world’s largest gold market are now available monthly following a recent move by Chinese customs authorities to publish gold imports and exports in an online database.

While China imported 994 tonnes of gold over the first seven months of 2018, the corresponding import figure for 2019 is a lot lower. But why is this? Is it a move by the... Continue Reading

Gold the Ultimate Asset as Fed Joins Race to the Bottom in Global Rates

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• Ronan Manly
• 8 Comments

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The US Federal Reserve has just cut it’s federal funds rate by 0.25%, the first time it has done so in over 10 years.

This change in direction by the central bank of the world’s biggest economy has more to it than the Fed board will say, and the US now rejoins the global central bank game of currency debasement and QE to infinity.

In this environment, gold tends... Continue Reading

By Not Renewing the CBGA, Central Banks in Europe Look Ready to Buy Gold

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• Ronan Manly
• 4 Comments

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After 20 years and three renewals, the signatories to the Central Bank Gold Agreement (CBGA), a cartel like syndicate of central banks in Europe, have just announced that they will not be renewing the Agreement when it expires this coming September.

While the real purpose of the CBGA was always different to its stated purpose, it appears likely that the Agreement while it ran... Continue Reading

Gold & Silver Price Manipulation – The Greatest Trick ever Pulled

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• Ronan Manly
• 11 Comments

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In addition to commercial bank manipulation of gold and silver futures prices and central bank manipulation of gold by policy, there is arguably another form of manipulation in the precious metals markets which is far more influential in subduing price discovery.

This is the manipulation embedded into the very structure of modern financialized commodities markets, which trade... Continue Reading

Poland joins Hungary with Huge Gold Purchase and Repatriation

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• Ronan Manly
• 5 Comments

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In a stunning development which is yet to be fully digested by the gold market, the central bank of Poland announced last Friday that it has purchased 100 tonnes of gold so far this year, boosting its gold reserves to 228.6 tonnes.

While all the Polish gold is still held at the Bank of England in London, this is about to change, and the Poles plan to imminently repatriate... Continue Reading

Mahathir’s Gold-backed Currency – Loose Talk or pan-Asian Plan?

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• Ronan Manly
• 4 Comments

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At a recent conference in Tokyo on the Future of Asia, Malaysia’s perennial prime minister Mahathir called for a pan-Asian gold-backed currency that could be used in international trade settlement.

While an interesting proposal, Mahathir’s idea is a repackaged version of his gold dinar scheme which never really got off the ground.

Asia has the ability to shift to... Continue Reading

The Fifth Wave: A new Central Bank Gold Agreement?

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• Ronan Manly
• 6 Comments

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With the fourth Central Bank Gold Agreement (CBGA) about to expire in September, a relevant question now is will there be a fifth CBGA?

Devised by a cartel of western central banks, the first two CBGAs achieved what they had intended to i.e. provide cover over 1999 - 2008 to close off gold sales and loans that had taken place years before.

And as China, Russia and... Continue Reading

Gold Price Breakout in Multiple Currencies

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• Ronan Manly
• 4 Comments

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The gold price is now making new multi-year and all time highs in many of the world’s most important and most liquid fiat currencies, including the commodity currencies of the Canadian dollar and Australian dollar, and other major currencies such as the Swedish Krona, Singapore dollar, British pound and Euro.

A new multi-year high in US dollar gold is also a possibility right... Continue Reading

Still Firing on all Cylinders: China’s Physical Gold Market

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• Ronan Manly
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In the midst of non-stop headlines about the US Chinese trade war and its associated tariffs, one sector of the Chinese economy which is business as usual is the Chinese gold market.

From metrics of SGE gold withdrawals to central bank gold purchases, from Chinese gold imports to Chinese gold mining, the world’s biggest gold market continues to siphon off huge quantities of... Continue Reading

Pay-to-Play: LBMA shows contempt for the wider Gold and Silver markets

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• Ronan Manly
• 2 Comments

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In a move that is anything but ‘leveling the playing field’ in the London bullion market, the LBMA has now moved to charging US$ 1500 per month for even a glimpse into the shadowy trading data of the opaque bullion banks in London.

Going completely against the spirit of the UK Fair and Efficient Markets Review, while maintaining the fiction of increased transparency, the... Continue Reading

The only gold the US shows – A working vault at West Point

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• Ronan Manly
• 7 Comments

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On its sporadic visits to the US Mint’s bullion depository at West Point, New York, the attending media only ever sees a ‘working vault’ of about 3000 gold bars used as input into the Mint’s bullion coin minting programs.

This is despite the West Point Mint claiming to store 54 million ounces (135,000 gold bars) across 11 ‘deep storage’... Continue Reading

Curse of the London Gold Fix strikes again as SocGen abandons ship

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• Ronan Manly
• 1 Comments

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With news that the French Bank, SocGen, has exited from market making in the London gold and silver markets, does this signal something amiss and the beginnings of a new wave of defections, as further bullion banks run for the exits?

This latest departure by SocGen now means that four of the five members of the former infamous Gold Fixing auctions in London have now run into... Continue Reading

The vast gold hoards held by Germany’s population

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• Ronan Manly
• 9 Comments

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A new survey in Germany finds that the German public holds over 8900 tonnes of gold, with a majority of this gold held in the form of investment gold bars and gold coins.

This is quite a staggering number and is more than 2.6 times the amount of gold held by Germany’s central bank, the Bundesbank.

German citizens hold gold as a form of wealth preservation and as a... Continue Reading

When Politicians and Central Banks clash – the Gold of Romania and Italy

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• Ronan Manly
• 1 Comments

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As China and Russia continue to make headlines with their ongoing and long-term accumulation of strategic gold reserves, in Europe central banks and their governments are increasingly coming into conflict on the issues of gold ownership and control of national gold reserves.

Two prime examples in this space right now are the gold repatriation legislation making its way... Continue Reading

The Domino Effect – Romania joins Gold Repatriation exodus

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• Ronan Manly
• 20 Comments

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With over 60 tonnes of gold stored at the Bank of England in London, moves are now afoot in the Romanian Parliament to force Romania’s central bank to repatriate most of this gold back from London to Bucharest.

If this move is successful, Romania will join the growing list of European nations, such as neighbouring Hungary and Austria, that choose to store their gold, not at... Continue Reading

RBA bosses squirm as Aussie politicians throw easy questions about RBA gold in London

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• Ronan Manly
• 7 Comments

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Following recent BullionStar coverage of the gold reserves of the Australian central bank claimed to be stored at the Bank of England, Australia’s gold continues to hit the headlines as a group of Aussie politicians host a public hearing quizzing the central bank heads about this very gold.

Unfortunately for the Australian population, due to what looks like a whitewash with a... Continue Reading

Australia’s gold at the Bank of England – Extended Q & A

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• Ronan Manly
• 4 Comments

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Recently, news network RT.com asked for BullionStar's comments on the question of the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) gold reserves supposedly stored at the Bank of England's gold vaults in London.

Using some of these comments, RT has now published an article on the topic on its English language news website.

Since the full set of RT questions and BullionStar's... Continue Reading

Italy’s Gold enters the Political Fray. But who really owns it?

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• Ronan Manly
• 5 Comments

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Italy claims to be the third largest sovereign gold holder in the world, with more than 2450 tonnes of monetary gold holdings.

As populist political parties in Italy come to the fore, the question of whether to harness some of Italy's gold through gold sales has recently been raised.

But who actually owns the Italian gold? Italy's central bank, the Bank of Italy, says... Continue Reading

Bank of England tears up its Gold Custody contract with Venezuela’s central bank

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• Ronan Manly
• 51 Comments

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It is now an established fact that the Bank of England has been stalling for months in its refusal to allow stored gold to be withdrawn from London by the central bank of Venezuela.

Taking its orders from the UK and US governments, the reputation of the Bank of England as a safe and secure location for the gold bars of the world’s central banks looks now to have been... Continue Reading

Separating truth from fiction in China’s golden game of Poker

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• Ronan Manly
• 5 Comments

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After a two year silence, the Chinese central bank has come back to the table with an announcement that it purchased 10 tonnes of gold in December 2018. The last time it claims to have bought gold was in October 2016.

To an already skeptical audience, it is difficult to believe that the Chinese were not buying gold all through 2017 and 2018. Especially since their powerful... Continue Reading

Russian Central Bank buying Gold on the International market?

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• Ronan Manly
• 11 Comments

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The Russian central bank has bought so much gold this year that its purchases now exceed the amount of gold mined in Russia during 2018.

But with a policy of buying domestic gold mining output, the central bank will now need to look further afield to fulfill its gold reserve purchase requirements.

As existing agents of the central bank, the large Russian commercial... Continue Reading

Venezuela’s gold in limbo amid tug-of-war at the Bank of England

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• Ronan Manly
• 19 Comments

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As one of the world’s largest custodians of central bank gold, the Bank of England is attracting unwanted attention in a bizarre saga involving 14 tonnes of Venezuela’s gold.

A whole cast of colorful characters has recently emerged on both sides, those wanting the gold to be returned and those wanting the gold to be confiscated. Continue Reading

French central bank and JP Morgan team up to boost Gold Lending

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• Ronan Manly
• 2 Comments

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The gold lending market is arguably the most secretive and opaque market in the world with little known about its workings and less about its transactions and outstanding gold lending positions.

While London is the core hub for this secretive market, one of the giants of bullion banking, JP Morgan, has recently confirmed that it is facilitating central bank gold lending in... Continue Reading

LBMA trading volume data confirms the paper gold casino in London

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• Ronan Manly
• 7 Comments

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Following on nearly four years after the UK financial authorities released a report titled the Fair and Efficient Markets Review, the London Bullion Market Association has finally released a new report showing trading volumes in the London gold and silver markets.

While the new data confirms the long standing view that gold trading in London is predominantly synthetic paper... Continue Reading

Bank of England refuses to return 14 tonnes of gold to Venezuela

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• Ronan Manly
• 32 Comments

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A number of news stories have circulated recently that Venezuela is having difficulty withdrawing 14 tonnes of its gold from the Bank of England vaults in London.

While official sources quoted in these articles offer explanations for the delay which are clearly bogus, and the real reason is one of politics, Venezuela's inability to withdraw its gold from the Bank of England... Continue Reading

Does the recent spate of Central Bank gold buying impact demand and price?

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• Ronan Manly
• 2 Comments

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Central bank gold demand has hit the headlines recently due to additional central banks announcing gold purchases as well as an overall increase in the amount of gold which these banks as a group claim to be buying.

But it is dangerous for the media and the World Gold Council to group all central bank gold purchases into the same basket, since the motivations of individual... Continue Reading

In surprise move, Central Bank of Hungary announces 10-fold jump in its gold reserves

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• Ronan Manly
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In dramatic news for the gold market, the central bank of Hungary has just announced that it has increased its strategic gold reserves by 10-fold from 3.1 tonnes to 31.5 tonnes. That's a 1000% increase.

Not only that, but the Hungarian central bank has also repatriated all of this newly purchased gold to Hungary, some 28.4 tonnes, signalling the geo-strategic nature of this... Continue Reading

Skepticism reigns about the True state of Chinese central bank gold reserves

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• Ronan Manly
• 5 Comments

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When BullionStar ran a Twitter survey to find out what percentage of people believe the official Chinese claim about its central bank gold holdings, the results showed resounding skepticism about the official data. The pool garnered 2337 votes and a full 91% of respondents did not believe the official figure. But within the results there were some surprises. Given the level of... Continue Reading

LBMA Clearing and Vaulting data reveal the absurdity of the London ‘Gold’ Market

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• Ronan Manly
• 6 Comments

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There are relatively tiny quantities of physical gold holdings in LBMA London vaults to underpin the huge amount of 'gold' trading that goes on in the London Gold Market. On an annualized basis, the equivalent of 1.5 million tonnes of 'gold' are 'traded' in London, however, there have only ever been about 190,000 tonnes of gold mined throughout history. So what is going on? Enormous... Continue Reading

Paulson’s Shareholders Gold Council finally launches after initial delays

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• Ronan Manly
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In September 2017 at the Denver Gold Summit, hedge fund Paulson & Co led by John Paulson pitched the idea for a 'Shareholders Gold Council' to address the ongoing under-performance of the gold mining sector and its poor shareholder returns. Initially earmarked for a launch in early July 2018, the establishment of the Council was delayed but has finally now happened. There are 15... Continue Reading

Chinese Gold Panda Coins now trading on the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE)

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• Ronan Manly
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In an important development for the Chinese Gold Market, the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) has just launched a physically delivered contract for trading Chinese Gold Panda coins.

With this new contract, both institutional and individual investors in China can now trade and take delivery of China's national gold bullion coin, the Gold Panda, direct from the SGE.... Continue Reading

As Emerging Market Currencies Collapse, Gold is being Mobilized

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• Ronan Manly
• 1 Comments

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As key emerging markets such as Turkey and Argentina see their currencies rapidly weakening, there is concern that an emerging markets currency crisis may be brewing. The Brazilian Real and South African Rand have also come under pressure, and in Asia the Indonesian Rupiah and Indian Rupee are now displaying weakness against the US Dollar. Add in the ongoing currency crisis in... Continue Reading

Annual Mine Supply of Gold: Does it Matter?

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• Ronan Manly
• 1 Comments

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There is a relative fixation in the gold industry on new gold mining supply, and the prospects of unextracted gold reserves running out within the next few decades. However, current in-ground gold reserves are not the full picture, since in-ground gold 'resources' are far larger still.

But beyond annual gold mining output, its important to remember that the world's... Continue Reading

LBMA at the Movies: Golden Turkeys

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• Ronan Manly
• 6 Comments

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The London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) has recently published a series of short videos claiming to explain 'Who They Are' and 'How the OTC precious metals Markets Work'.

But a quick glance at the content confirms that nearly none of the subject matter addresses the questions set by the titles. Are they deliberately avoiding the questions? If the answer is yes, then it... Continue Reading